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FEATURE: Which players lose the most from Wimbledon points drop, and which ones stand to gain?

The effects of the decision by the ATP to strip Wimbledon of its ranking points will be felt in just a matter of days, but which player are being punished the most and who stands to gain?
Novak Djokovic Centre Court Wimbledon

Wimbledon is proving to be a strange tournament his year, particularly on the men’s side of the draw.

The top two players in the world are missing, the former due to a blanket ban on Russian and Belarusian players. Three of the top 17 seeds, meanwhile, have withdrawn due to Covid.

However, perhaps the most bizarre thing happening is the lack of rankings points. They were stripped by the ATP in response to the ban on players from Russia and Belarus, and it has created a strange competitively-inverse situation where the players who performed the best last year are being punished while those who failed gain.

So, in real terms, which players are losing the most from the ATP’s decision and which ones are actually better off because of it?

Which players lose out the most?

Denis Shapovalov

Points drop: 720

Rankings drop: 7

Denis Shapovalov is one of the most interesting players on the ATP Tour, and for largely the worst reason. Everyone knows that he has the talent, but he is as streaky as they come.

The Canadian is one of those players who you are never surprised to see them winning, but never shocked to see them losing either – no matter how good or bad the opposition are.

Shapovalov had a really nice run at Wimbledon last year, where he reached the semi-finals before losing to Novak Djokovic. When the tournament finishes this year, he will drop out of the top 20.

Denis Shapovalov at Wimbledon

It should be noted, however, that Shapovalov has already been defeated in round two, so he would have lost most of those points regardless. Then again, perhaps the motivation levels would have been higher had he not known he was losing out before he even started.

Novak Djokovic

Points drop: 2000

Rankings drop: 4

The thought of Novak Djokovic dropping down to number seven in the world feels absolutely bizarre. That is what will happen after Wimbledon, though.

He himself says he can live with that just fine. He made the decision that after taking the record for most weeks at world number one, he would happily reduce his schedule and accept the rankings drop that came with it.

That has pretty much happened, but it’s how it has happened that leaves a bit of a sour taste. There was nothing in the plan about being denied even the chance to earn rankings points.

Djokovic has not been allowed to defend any of the 4000 points he won at the Australian Open and Wimbledon in 2021, and it looks like he won’t be able to defend the 1200 at the US Open either.

In all honesty, it’s testament to his brilliance that he can drop that many points and still be a top ten player after it all.

Matteo Berrettini

Matteo Berrettini roar Wimbledon

Points drop: 1200

Rankings drop: 4

In the end it was Covid that ultimately denied Matteo Berrettini from defending his Wimbledon points from 1200.

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However, that shouldn’t detract from the fact that he could have actually won the tournament and still dropped in the rankings.

Berrettini has struggled with injury this year and has undergone hand surgery. He was back and looking great again on grass though.

Marton Fucsovics

Points drop: 350

Rankings drop: 37

The player affected more than other, good or bad, from the removal of ranking points from Wimbledon is Marton Fucsovics.

The Hungarian had the best Grand Slam of his career at Wimbledon in 2021, with him reaching the quarterfinals before being beaten by Djokovic.

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Those 350 points contributed around third to his total, and he was always going to plummet all the way down to number 96 in the rankings as a result of losing them, no matter what he did this year.

Christian Garin

Points drop: 180

Rankings drop: 13

Garin had a very nice run at Wimbledon in 2021, getting himself to the fourth round. It was his joint best performance in a major.

He is backing that up at the 2022 tournament too, with him already into round three.

His reward? A 13-place drop in the world rankings that knocks him out of the top 50.

And who benefits from no Wimbledon ranking points?

One of the biggest frustrations about the stripping of Wimbledon ranking points is that the ones being rewarded are the ones who failed in 2021.

Rafael Nadal celebrates at Wimbledon

Jannik Sinner is one of those. The talented young Italian lost to Marton Fucsovics in the first round last year. That would be the same Marton Fucsovics who has been punished to the tune of 37 world rankings places.

However, after Wimbledon he will find himself back in the top ten, just by virtue of players who did better than him being punished for it.

Stefanos Tsitsipas, Rafael Nadal and Casper Ruud won one match between them at Wimbledon last year, yet all will jump a place in the world rankings simply because Djokovic, who won seven, is being stripped of those points.

Carlos Alcaraz is another who will benefit, but at least he actually won a match in SW19 in 2021.

Further down the rankings, MacKenzie McDonald, Maxine Cressy, Tallon Griekspoor and Emil Ruusuvouri will all jump at least four places, with the latter three all enjoying new career-high rankings too.

Brandon Nakashima will jump seven spots in the rankings, although in fairness he is having another fine Wimbledon this year too.

Hugo Gaston, meanwhile, who is already out of Wimbledon, will jump nine places. That said, he failed to qualify yesterday, so he would have earned a rise in the rankings this year regardless.

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